Friday, 4 February 2011

Update for Carlos...



Seeing as Carlos has had a bit of a seethe on the Betfair Forum for some reason, saying I try to say I am honest????? and never post screen shots of more than £10????? as if these are bad things on a blog???

I don't know. He seems to be a bit crazy but I thought I would post another update with todays matches on as they have just finished, with 5/6 ending with a screen shot of above £10 so that matches his "criteria" that he seems to require for this.

Enjoy Carlos, I hope the "above £10" screen shots make you happy.

Update for comments...




Just another quick update from missed matches for the comments posted. The 26th Jan matches were in the last post with screenshots and 27th-28th of Jan are here.

Like before I don't think I'll update for a while as I don't have many interesting things to say that will fill a blog on a regular basis.

Good luck with your bets and trading...

Update for Swebih...


Just a quick update for Swebih on the Betfair forum as he was asking for an update. I decided to pretty much stop the blog (again) as the last comments got me thinking.

They were asking for posts on strategy and discipline etc and after having a think about it I realised that I can't do that. I can't write good articles and posts on those subjects and this will more than likely turn out to be a profit and loss blog which are usually pretty boring unless there are some posts about the actual bets or trading that they are doing.

I don't have time to do write ups about every match I now get involved in and all I am really doing is laying someone when they reach low odds if I don't think they are a 1.01 train.

I would end up repeating myself so often and it will end up being boring for you and for me.

I won't delete the blog and may post regularly again in the future as some of you may remember that I change my mind about what I am doing every few months!

Good luck with all your bets and trading, I hope you make shit loads of money this year!

Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Thanks Builders...


I would like to say a thank you to the builders who decided to start drilling next door at 9:30am.

Due to Kvitova bottling the big game and not turning up against Zvonareva I had resigned to have a losing day today despite clawing a little bit back on Murray.

I was woken up by the drilling and after lying in bed for about 20 mins I realised I wasn't going to get back to sleep so got up to see Ferrer/Nadal from early in the second set. I jumped aboard the Ferrer train as it was clear Nadal couldn't move 100% and what was even better was the drilling stopped about 5 mins after I got up!

A lovely finish to the day and finishing with a little green made me happy. I think tonight I will get involved in play with the WTA matches. I think Li can beat Woz but ther will be a few flip flops in the match so will wait to get involved.

Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Aus Open Quarter Finals...



I had a nicer green on Li but got involved again in the second set, thinking Petkovic would take the set but Li broke back again and I managed to scrape a little green still.

Joker went out to 1.4 when a set up and a break down which was a massive over reaction to his contacts problem. I took some of that and greened out at low odds again. I didn't want to lay at low odds with him as he has been playing so well that I couldn't be confident he would drift.

I wanted to lay Woz as I thought she was too short at 1.17 against Schiavone, despite Schiavone playing the massive match a couple of days earlier I thought she could still cause problems and break Woz's serve. I ended up sleeping though after watching most of Fed which I also didn't get involved in. I was looking to maybe back Fed should his price rise but he was class and I certainly wasn't going to lay him when ahead the way he was playing.

I think Vera will be a lay tonight, I can see her winning but Kvitova has a good chance to cause some problems and she will probably trade higher. Murray I will back in play if he drifts and I will watch A.Rad, possibly laying Clijsters pre match and look to trade.

Monday, 24 January 2011

Aus Open Monday Morning...



A profitable day which should have been so much better. I was watching and concentrating on the Sod match so much I forgot to green out on Pennetta. Sod was duly delivering a nice win but I need to keep an eye on all matches.

Two other little trades on the WTA matches, Zvonareva I had a little back of when a break down in the first set, I didn't think she would lose and would break back not long after. A.Rad I let run a bit longer and should have greened out at the end of the first set for a nice profit, instead Peng broke back and leveled. A.Rad got the break in the deciding set and that was me done for the night.

I was hoping Clijsters lost the first set tie break this morning as she would have been value to back but she won so I didn't get involved in this match.

Sunday, 23 January 2011

Aus Open Sunday Morning...



No early match trading as I was drinking last night but did get up for football an hour early and had two good trades. First was a quick one in the Kuz match, this was 5-5 or 6-6 I think and started with laying Kuz when she had 0-30 on Schiavone's serve, Schia came back to hold and it was a quick green. I watched the rest and wanted to get involved again but I knew as soon as I laid someone who broke you could almost guarantee that they would have held to win so I just watched and didn't re-enter the market.

The other was a lay of Sharapova, she was far too short and her serve was going to be under massive pressure and when Petkovic started putting heavy ground strokes in to the corners this would put Masha under even more pressure to get first serves in. This was more 50/50 and I would have probably even made Petkovic favourite.

Sharapova was getting her arse kicked from the start and I was going to let it run the whole way but when Petkovic was broken serving for the match I greened out at around 1.05 as I had to leave to play football then.

All in all another good day, I'm happy with how it's going in recent days.

Saturday, 22 January 2011

Aus Open Saturday Morning...



Quick post this evening as I've been drinking after winning at football today...

A good day, only the one loss and that could have been a big win. I laid Stosur and was about to let the lay run in the tie break for a bigger win, I greened out and then backed Stosur at 3.5 as this was too high playing at home a set down.

When Stosur had break points near the end of the second set I went back to think about the first set where being brave enough to let it run would have been a much bigger green so this time I said I would let it run.

I did and Kvitova came back to hold and then broke Stosur to love. I had to take a loss and I didn't mind too much, some time a match like that will result in a nice green and that was also the only loss of the day. I was just sat there laughing to myself as I redded out after the way it went.

Friday, 21 January 2011

Aus Open Day 5...



Some more profit but the two big losses were very annoying. I laid Almagro and Wawrinka when a set up but as soon as I done that (like Stepanek the other day) their opponents just went down pathetically. I didn't red out at first as it's a 5 set match but it's the wrong decision for me to lay after 1 set in ATP, I just can't get it right.

WTA was a much better night and I always seem to do better with that. Sevastova was a fantastic value at 1.75 and I didn't read anyone that was on Manesieva. The last few times I have laid Sharapova she has gone on to win and cost me money and last night I didn't think Goerges had the game either physically or mentally to outdo her in a Slam so I backed her from the off.

She broke early but I was hoping for her to consolidate her break before greening but she was broken back. I topped up a little when she lost the first set and greened out after Masha broke her early in the decider.

I also laid Henin and took the early green after Kuz broke her and I said the other day I think Kuz could be the surprise package this year and go quite far in what is a very open Slam.

I will be trading less matches over the next two days as I play football Saturday's and Sunday's so need to get some sleep through the night.

Thursday, 20 January 2011

Aus Open Day 4...


I didn't enjoy last night very much despite ending in profit. It was a night littered with mistakes and bad decisions and I think I was lucky to end up green.

I failed to research lots of the matches properly and made stupid decisions like backing Llodra, Jankovic, laying Petrova just after she was broken as I opened the market late.

Then there were the ones like laying Cornet after winning the first set only to see here win 6-1, laying Stepanek just before a complete breakdown and he feebly lost from there on.

I think because matches are 5 sets I have not been redding out so tonight I think I will only get involved in play or if I do get involved from the start make sure I research properly before betting.