Tuesday 31 August 2010

McEnroe: Murray can win US Open...

John McEnroe believes Andy Murray is one of just three players who can win the US Open – but admits Roger Federer still holds the upper hand.

Murray was finally due to begin his bid for a first Grand Slam title against Slovakia’s Lukas Lacko today, with Federer having already cruised into the second round on Monday evening.

World number one Rafael Nadal is the other player McEnroe thinks can lift the title on September 12, but he and Murray will have to do it the hard way after being placed in the same half of the draw, the other half to Federer.

“Federer is not going to have to deal with both of them, which is good for him,” McEnroe said. “How much will Rafa and Andy beat up on each other in the semis?

“I would be very surprised if one of those guys did not win it. Andy can absolutely win it – if it doesn’t happen this year, maybe next year.”

Murray recently sacked coach Miles Maclagan and went on to defeat Nadal and Federer in consecutive matches to defend his Masters series title in Toronto.

And McEnroe added on BBC Radio Five Live: “The difference with Andy is his willingness to go after the ball, to be more aggressive.

“This is something he may have been thinking about for a while.

“I think it was time maybe. Maclagan did a good job, like (Mark) Petchey before him and now it’s time for the next step. It seems like a good thing to try.”

Murray and Lacko have never played each other on tour before, but world number 71 Lacko has recorded some impressive wins this year, including victories over Marcos Baghdatis in the first round of Wimbledon and former world number one Lleyton Hewitt in Atlanta.

However, he lost 6-2 6-2 6-2 to Nadal in the second round of the Australian Open in January – where Murray lost in the final to Federer – and the British number one will be hoping for a similarly one-sided victory to get out of the scorching early-afternoon sun as soon as possible.

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There were a big handful of strong favourites that got dumped out yesterday including Baghdatis, Gulbis, Na Li, Chakvetadze, Petrova, Safarova and Shvedova. I wasn't on many of them as they didn't come up as selections and I ended the day with a tiny profit of £3.45 from 26 selections.

Not great but better than a loss so can't complain. Still so many matches each day so there is sure to be lot's of selections for later on today and let's see if the bank can keep growing.

2 comments:

  1. hi rod, congrats on your continued success. I was on both baggy and shvedova yesterday so had a bit of a nightmare. I'd been on a great run of winners so maybe needed that as a reminder that tennis can be very unpredictable!

    By the way as you plan to double your bank every month you must also be doubling your target winnings for every bet? That's a very aggressive approach IMO as two months doesn't yet mean the system has proven itself.

    To be honest though you're getting to the stage where I would be willing to pay you a fair amount of money to find out what the criteria for your bets are, lol!

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  2. Hi Tsonga,

    Thanks, and unlucky with your bets yesterday, I thought Baggy would have won easily but myself but it just didn't qualify in my system otherwise i probably would have been on him myself.

    My target winnings is always 0.5% of the bank per sequence, then the obvious chase that just adds losses for three or maybe four bets.

    I think this is fine as at this point I think I have risked around 20% of the bank only once, the rest of the time the most I have risked has been around 12-15% if I remember correctly, and that hasn't been very often either.

    You are correct in saying the system is still to prove itself but please remember I checked back for around 10 years worth of match results and it has shown similar results to this all along which is why I am happy to use my chasing staking plan in the first place, after all, we ALL know chasing doesn't work! ;)

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