Monday, 10 January 2011

End of Day 10th Jan...



A good day that I am happy with, especially as I am not around for most of the matches due to work. There are two matches starting at 10pm tonight so I can hopefully get something on there should research show they are worth getting involved in (and that they actually start at that time, unlike Groth).

Also, a few matches in the morning could be an option depending what time I get back from work again. From next Wednesday I am off so should be able to get involved in a lot more matches at the AO as I don't go back until after the Slam.

Bartoli v Safina - Hobart...


Bartoli was a back against Safina. Safina has not played for a long time, has lost lots of her last matches on hard and trails the h2h 2-0, both on hard court too although they were back in 2007.

I even topped up a little at 3-0 as it looked like Safina was not going to get anywhere. Bartoli was hitting winners, moving well, serving well and with Safina being so rusty only a major choke from Bartoli (which isn't unheard of) could get Safina back in this.

Berlocq v Kohlschreiber - Auckland



Kohl was 1.09 ish I believe pre match and he burned me so many times last year and in the past that it had to be a lay. He lost the first set and didn't seem to be able to serve to save his life!

I greened out in the second set when he broke as he was starting to look a bit more consistent than Berlocq and sure enough he won the set and Berlocq was nowhere in the final set, losing 6-1.



I also had a losing trade on Kleybanova but forgot to take a screen shot as I was making my breakfast. I thought it was worth laying her in the final set against Schiavone as she isn't in great form but she won convincingly. It as around a £13 loss and will be up in the final screen shot of the days total.

Also backed Bartoli who is leading 5-0 in the first set against Safina at the moment.

Larsson v Groth - Hobart


A minuscule profit made here but all pre match. It had this down to start at 22:30 on Betfair's Live Scores page so because I leave for work at 23:00 I wanted to get a little trade in if I could.

I started with a lay of Groth but when it didn't go in-play I refreshed the live scores page and found it to be starting at midnight. Quick exit trade and luckily she had drifted a tick or two so didn't make a loss.

Lucky really as it was a bad shout to lay her as she won 6-1 6-3 so would have been a bigger loss.

Saturday, 8 January 2011

End of Day 8th Jan...



Very quick post this evening as I am off out. I had little, quick trades on a few matches, a made a pound or two profit in total and won't be around until matches tomorrow. Maybe some early morning ones depending what time I am back.



There are lots of games through the night and over the next day or two I hope to get a bit more done.

Friday, 7 January 2011

End of Day 7th Jan...


A good day today. Profit was made from 3 of the 4 matches I got involved in and can't really have any complaints about the Nishikori match, just had a bit too much faith in him as I am a fan but a green day so all is good.

If I am around I will be laying Wickmayer and hoping for a quick green, maybe 20 ticks or so as I think she should win this but has been taken to three sets already and Arn will be brimming with confidence after her last two wins. I may just go smaller stakes laying Wickmayer and let it run even if she goes ahead, hoping for three sets and then the chance to green out but if Wick wins in two I take the hit (hence smaller stake).

I'll have a think about that and see nearer the time if I am around to trade. I won't be touching the Sod or Roddick matches and as long as the Wick match isn't too long I hope to be up for the Kvitova match in the morning. Malisse match shouldn't be too much trouble for me to make either but I don't think I'll be around the rest of the day or night.



Edit: Basically I have done my research and I will be BACKING Wickmayer instead of laying her now. Good luck if you are betting/trading this match.

Wawrinka v Haase...



I was thinking of laying Stan after he struggled at times the day before against Goffin but I wanted to see how he would start first. I went out when it was delayed with rain and came back just to see him lose the first set.

I wanted to watch a little of the second set to see if he was up for the fight and to me it seemed he was so backed him around 2.12 I think it was and a few games later he broke and started playing like he can. I wanted to green just in case he lost concentration instead of letting it run.

He is currently 4-1 up in the final set so fingers crossed he holds on and I can take the bigger green.

Tipsarevic v Nishikori


Like I said yesterday I am a fan of Nishikori and Tipsarevic was a lay here for me. Nish can beat him in the rallies if his backhand is firing and there wasn't much between them early on.

Nish seems to hit many easy shots in to the net though and Tipsa took the first set 6-4. I was thinking of redding out right away but gave Nish a second chance to pull it back. He broke in the second set and I thought with momentum he could grab the second set but he started (for some strange reason) to run around his backhand and start hitting forehands (his weaker shot) letting Tipsa break back right away.

I no longer wanted to risk Nish getting the comeback because if he running around his best shot to hit a weaker shot then he isn't thinking right to pull back from a set down in my opinion.

All red, take the hit, move on.

Nadal v Davydenko


Nadal HAD to be a lay for me. Despite many saying 1.38 is a great price especially after winning in two against Gulbis, Nadal IS still suffering from a fever, illness whatever and it will take it's toll after a while.

Add to that the opponents he is facing are getting tougher and Davy has been playing well this week, also winning the last three meetings against Nadal. Nadal should surely trade higher.

He broke and I considered redding out but thought the match would catch up with him which it did. I greened out after Davy won the first set and could have had a much better green had I waited as Nadal was struggling then and was broken early in the second set.

Thing is, in the past these things have gone against me, after waiting for a bigger green so better to be safe than sorry and have a green on both players bigger than my stake to very happy.

Tsonga V Federer


Tsonga looked like he was upping his game a little so I put a lay on Fed at 1.06. I was hoping he could get a break or maybe a break point for a quick green as he was getting a few points on Fed's serve.

A tight game was followed by two love service games and he is still yet to get a break point so thought better safe than sorry and get out a tick higher for a tiny green. I didn't want to see Fed break Tsonga as then it would pretty much be game over and whole stake lost.