End of Day...

I finished the day with some profit from the matches that I was around for. It could have (should have) been more after messing up the Nadal match and I also had a little lay of Davydenko against Karlovic.

I thought if Karlovic was holding he could get a 0-30 or BP on Davy's serve and I would get a quick green but Davy held and then broke to love. Karlovic wasn't getting anything so redded out and took the hit. No complaints, shouldn't have under estimated Davy really especially after Karlovic has been out for so long but Karlovic did serve well in his previous match.

Nadal V Gulbis

I am very pissed of with myself for messing up on this match. Like last year I shouldn't start doing more than one trade per match, I'm not good at it. I started by laying Nadal @ 1.26. Gulbis had taken a set off of him three times and Nadal had a fever so should have traded higher.

He went as high as 1.7 ish and when he came back in I greened @ 1.47 to give a nice green on both players. Then I started trying to get more green by doing more trades and it went against me. I was looking a few pounds loss on both until Gulbis got the break point and Nadal drifted to 1.09.

I was out with green on both but very very annoyed. Greening up then leaving it has always worked best for me. Some people make very good money doing lots of trades but it doesn't work for me, I make wrong decisions.

Falla v Nishikori

There are not many matches I am around for due to work but wanted to have a look and maybe get involved in this. I am a big fan of Nishikori and think if he can stay fit he can become a very good player, especially with Gilbert helping out on the coaching side.

When I saw Falla a set up and Nishikori was @ EVS I wanted to initially wait and see how he was playing. I looked at the stats and they were not too different among the points won on serve etc except Nishikori had had many more BP opportunities and being a good fighter would sure get more.

I backed Nishikori and he duly broke that game (touch of luck) and then took the set. I was thinking about greening out at around 1.4-1.45 but then in the first game of the third set it kicked off!

Falla should have been 40-15 but the umpire called it 30-30. A bit of an argument ensured, Falla hit a ball out of the court in frustration. He was then broken right away. Fall was fuming, smashing his racket to pieces before Nishikori held easily in the second game.

Falla had then given up completely, making no effort at all to keep the ball in play and had basically given up. I greened out after Nishikori starting making lots of errors, lots of double faults so I thought better to be safe than sorry.

Back to Trading...

Well the losing day that I predicted came, there were several losing matches that took a chunk of the profit away and after originally having doubts about following this system again I am going to stop.

It may seem like a bit of a rash decision but when following the system I seem to lose track of tennis. I never keep track of who is in form and who is not, I don't really watch too many matches as I have no need to trade out at all, I simply place the bets and check the results and I don't enjoy it.

I traded a few matches last night, Gasquet, Davy, Pavlyuchenkova, Goerges and Wickmayer and made profit on all. It would get frustrating watching a stage 2 or 3 system bet start turning against me and wanted to trade out but not doing it because I needed to let it run for the staking of the system.

This is more fun, I'm learning more and I can still make money (I hope). Screenshots don't have to be blurred anymore as I have no system to cover and I can write a few posts with match screen shots giving my thoughts etc so hopefully it may be a bit more interesting for people to read should they choose to.



I have currently backed Nishikori which has had an interesting turn, Falla losing the plot but I will post about that afterwards. There will be less matches of course now due to working nights and most matches being on when I am working but I do have a week and a half off for the AO so should get some good time trading then.

Quick Update from Qatar...

A few quid profit from the days matches and along with this mornings matches leave me heading in to tonight's matches with a total of £390.24. Last year I often told of when I had a feeling a losing day would be upon me and I have that feeling now...

Perhaps it's because it's been quite a while since using this method and and it has so far won everyday but let's see. Now I have a few losses I can start to look at introducing the recovery process with my staking and seeing it grow even more or drop a bit.

With three losses in a sequence now getting written off instead of split down (I didn't want to go for 4 in case the hit was too big a chunk of the bank) I can see a loss (of 3 bets) taking maybe only a few days to recover, maybe a week so I am happy with that.

John McEnroe expects Federer-Nadal rivalry to last several more years

John McEnroe says he expects the rivalry between Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal to last at least a few more years before a new face breaks through the top ranks of men's tennis.

The two players have dominated nearly all the Grand Slams and controlled the world No. 1 and No. 2 rankings in recent years. Both players have won all four majors, with Nadal completing his trophy collection by winning the U.S. Open for the first time in September — his third consecutive Grand Slam title after wins at the French Open and Wimbledon.

Speaking on the sidelines of an exhibition tournament in Hong Kong on Tuesday, McEnroe said, "there's no reason to believe ... that these guys aren't going to be around for the next couple of years."

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I can't put all screen shots up as it will mean taking screen shots from both the normal and AUS wallets a couple of times a day so I have put up the AUS wallet from yesterday and a current total (some matches are still in play).

A good couple of days and the few underdogs that came up as selections were all winners including Becker beating Verdasco and Safarova beating Peer who I believe came back from 2-5 to win 7-5. Safarova has a great record as underdog going 12-13 in the last year including some nice priced wins against Wozniacki (5.7) and Pennetta (4.2).

The current total (with £7.95 in play) is £380.36 so even if the current bets lose we have seen the bank grow almost 10% in a few days. From £400 and upwards the bets will have higher stakes as I compound profits and hopefully see it continue to grow.



I'm off now as there are more bets to place for today's Qatar matches and then time for some sleep before checking tonight's bets later today. Good luck if you are having a bet today.

Murray convinced early Australian arrival a wise strategy

Andy Murray, a finalist at the 2010 Australian Open, is convinced that his preparation is enhanced by playing the mixed teams Hopman Cup, where he and teenage partner Laura Robson lost a title bid 12 months ago on their debut.

Murray took a chance in 2010 as he renounced the ATP start-of-year week in Doha, instead coming to Perth for the eight-nation Hopman Cup, now more that two decades old.

The round-robin mes and women's event has the attraction of giving players at least three guaranteed singles and the same number of mixed doubles matches. But Murray needed to take a deep breath when he gave up Doha after winning the event in 2008 and 2009 and reaching the final in his first appearance the year before.

The 23-year-old Scot arrived in western Australia at the weekend after several training weeks at his hot-weather base of Miami. But 25 degrees Celsius in Florida cannot compare to 40 degrees in Perth, despite the fact that the event is played indoors at the Burswood Dome.

'It helped my net game a lot last year playing here,' Murray said Sunday, a day before he and Robson open against Italy with Potito Starace and French Open winner Francesca Schiavone. 'I played eight matches - four singles and four doubles.

'I played in Doha a few times and played well there, but then to come over and not be used to the conditions and not play that well at the Aussie Open - that's why I came over again.

'It's good to get you in shape at the beginning of the year and also the conditions here, on the off days to practise outdoors, make a huge difference going into the Australian Open.'

Murray called his 2010 Hopman start 'the perfect preparation for the Aussie Open.'

He added: 'I came over again early to get used to the conditions, so I hope I can play better in Australia. Last year the Open was one of the best events I've played in my life, I played some of my best tennis.

'But I'll have to play even better if I want to win because Rafa and Roger are playing so well now. I think there are a lot of guys that can win it, but I think they're obviously the two favourites.'

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A solid day for the system with a few more picks from the start of tournaments. I cannot believe that Kleybanova lost, some people would have been burned on that but if you choose to back at 1.07 or what ever she was then losses like that will hit you hard.

Early signs show a few more matches that qualify as the tournaments get fully under way tonight.

Djokovic Convinced Me To Play...

Former number one and 2008 Roland Garros champion Ivanovic said on Thursday that after last playing the eight-nation mixed team event in 2006, she is pleased to be returning to Perth for the opening tune-up for the Australian Open.

“I’m very excited about this, coming here, there is a lot of potential to do really well,” said the 23-year-old, who ended a two-year trophy drought this past autumn with WTA victories in Linz and Bali.

“Novak has been asking me to come back ever since the first year we played here.”

Ivanovic is well used to summer condition in the southern hemisphere, arriving in Australia from Europe in time for Christmas with her parents. She and men’s number three Djokovic teamed for Serbia in Perth five years ago, with Ivanovic winning two of her three singles matches in group play.

“There are lots of great players out there but it’s been a little bit shaky, it’s been up and down,” she said of a women’s game currently without a dominating player with the decline of Serena Williams and number one Caroline Woznbiacki still without a Grand Slam crown.

“A lot of players have been fighting injuries and haven’t played that many events, so I think if you can start good and be consistent you can get really far next year.”
With her ranking having risen to 17th after sinking to 68th in the years since her Paris Grand Slam title, Ivanovic feels poised for a rebirth in the sport.

“I want to get back to the top ten and hopefully win another slam,” she said. “Winning a Grand Slam is something I can never forget. If I had to choose I would always choose a Grand Slam over number one ranking. I have potential to win some more and it would be a good start next year.”

“I think I’m on the right way. I work really hard but consistency is the main thing. You have to perform good week after week and also match after match. You have to recover well and then get your game up because you have lots of tough opponents. In a Grand Slam you have to win seven matches and there are no easy matches anymore — from the first round on you get tough opponents.”

Ivanovic showed her potential in the 2008 Australian Open, where she reached the final four months before winning Paris. But with her post-Paris form drop, she only managed the third round in 2009 and the second round a year ago at Melbourne Park.

“My goal now is to get to the second week (of a Slam). I feel good about my game and my fitness at the moment but I just don’t want to get too excited about the possibilities or how far I can get. “It’s very important to just set realistic goals and aim for the second week, then take it day by day. I think it’s all about confidence.”

Perth play begins New Year’s day with Australia (Lleyton Hewitt and Alicia Molik) facing Belgium with seven-time Grand Slam winner Justine Henin and Ruben Bemelmans.

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A little bit of profit to start the season off with and it's a slow process but should be good to see the process in action over time without any other distractions now. I have high hopes for this system and am really looking forward to the proper tournaments starting to get some more selections.

Soderling looked in great shape yesterday beating Tsonga, hitting some cracking passes that were just inch perfect. Baggy had chances to pull it level for a tie break and the miss on MP was just horrific to watch.

Perhaps he has spent too much of the off season working on fitness and not enough time on the court? There is no point being fit and getting to every ball if when you get there you are making errors. It may take him a few weeks of match practice to make an impact now, who knows?

I hope everyone reading this has a great New Years Eve tonight, it may take a day or two to recover before I post again! :)

Tomorrow It Begins.....

Here it is! After stopping the system betting in September I am happy to finally get on with some tennis betting again tomorrow. The balance I will be using is just over £350 so let's see how it goes.

Something I noticed whilst looking at my spread sheet is that there were about 4 (I think) sequences that I broke down, usually in to 4 or 5 smaller amounts to then recover over a period of time when matches qualified for it.

Of these, there were not many that qualified and were recovered in the (approx) 2 month period in which the bank doubled twice.

This has now lead me to changing slightly the way I will be doing it. I will still be effectively chasing the losing bets but after 3 losing bets, instead of breaking the loss down I will just wipe it off and carry on without worrying about it.

Because it didn't do any big damage to the bank I think long term this will be better and less chasing should mean more profit, after all, the bank doubled twice in two months without recovering any of these broken down losses in large amounts.

For tomorrow it's both favourites so hopefully we get off to a good start! It's good to have the tennis back and good luck with all your bets should you be getting involved tomorrow!



P.S. I haven't done too badly this week, but I've been waiting for the tennis like a mad man!

Update...

Just a quick update to say I won't be carrying on with this blog until the new season starts in January. I hope you are all winning lots of money in recent weeks!